College Football Week #12 Picks
By Colin Dixon, November 13th 2019
Picture Via @AlabamaFTBL Twitter
Another week another 6-4 record after another great weekend slate of football. This weekend was much better than last weekend for my personal bets but we enjoy sitting at 6-4 again after these top 10 picks. My four losses were tough, Oregon State blew their cover after making a late comeback, Penn State was dismantled by Minnesota and their high powered offense, West Virginia was an awful underdog to pick where they got blown out at home, and lastly my under between Wisconsin and Iowa was hitting and was looking great until the fourth quarter and both teams decided to score some points. A great weekend with a lot of bigs games, but this weekend is just the same and I am ready for it with these picks below:
GAME 1: #5 Alabama -19.0 @ Mississippi State
Alabama suffered their first loss of the season after a tough battle against LSU but Alabama has a huge bounce back game ahead of them. Miss State is sitting at 4-5 and are coming off a bye week but Alabama needs to make a statement for the Playoff Committee who placed Georgia ahead of the Crimson Tide. This game has a high line and Alabama will go out there and shove the football down Miss States throat.
MY PICK: BAMA -19.0
GAME 2: #11 Florida -7.0 @ Missouri
The Clemson transfer Kelly Bryant had high hopes for his Mizzou Tigers this year but they are sitting at 5-4 now and have lost 3 straight games. Florida is a good team but they have lost a lot of respect for losing to LSU and Georgia yet I have not lost any respect and I am all in on the Gators. Florida statistically has a better offense and defense and they need to go out there and make another Statement like their 56-0 win last week against Vanderbilt. I'm rolling with the Gators over the old Clemson guy Kelly Bryant who I love.
MY PICK: CHOMP ON -7.0
GAME 3: Michigan State +13.5 @ #15 Michigan
Michigan kept saying to wait until they found their offensive stride and people they have found their stride and it makes me think about where they would be ranked if they had this offensive presence at the beginning of the season. Michigan State on the other hand has no stride whatsoever and they have lost 4 straight games and are sitting at under .500 on the season. The Spartans vs Wolverines is always a magical matchup but this year it would be crazy if MSU even competed to the slightest big especially on the ride. Harbaugh has his Wolverines playing smooth and sound of late and all I have to say is look out Ohio State... maybe not but I will talk about that matchup when it arises.
MY PICK: GO BLUE -13.5
GAME 4: #18 Memphis -10.0 @ Houston
Well, a couple weeks ago I doubted the Memphis Tigers football team but after watching them play against SMU I have found another team that I enjoy watching a lot. Memphis has the opportunity to play in a NY6 bowl game this year and that would be huge for their program. On the other side of this matchup Houston had high hopes for this year but there is not much promise for the Cougs after they lost their QB for the year to save his eligibility. This pick was simple for me.
MY PICK: GO TIGERS -10.0
GAME 5: #8 Minnesota +3.0 @ #20 Iowa
This line shocked me a ton. And the reason that the Hawkeyes are favored is because they are at home and have a great defense. But who else had a highly touted defense? Penn State and Minnesota put up 31 on them and looked to have a very fluid offense with many weapons. PJ Fleck showed up in his biggest game of his career and he has another one on the way and the Gophers will try to prove once again why they are a legit CFB Playoff contender.
MY PICK: ROW THE BOAT +3.0
GAME 6: #10 Oklahoma -10.0 @ #13 Baylor
Baylor won again last week but it took 4 quarters and 3 overtimes to reach their 9th win without a loss. Oklahoma barely escaped a late game comeback against Iowa State but this game is sort of weird because Oklahoma may be the ones who are favored but they can play spoiler this week which is not their normal role. Baylor is the lowest ranked undefeated team and this could be a win that inches them into the top 10 but to do that they will have to win in dominate fashion compared to a very close wire to wire game. This is the best matchup on the later slate of games and it will be a solid Saturday night matchup.
MY PICK: BOOMER SOONER -10.0
GAME 7: UCLA +21.0 @ #7 Utah
If you have been following these picks week by week you have seen the emergence of DTR the dynamic quarterback for UCLA. Utah is the 7th ranked team in the country and they are just counting down the days to when they will play Oregon in the Pac 12 championship. But UCLA has become a team that you cannot take lightly. 21 seems very high to me but if Utah can cover this they will make a statement to the playoff committee.
MY PICK: 8 Clap +21.0
GAME 8: Arizona @ #6 Oregon O/U 68.5
This description will be short and simple. Oregon is not going to drop a 70 bomb on us on Saturday and Arizona who scored about 33 points a game has not played a real defense all year. Oregon only allows around 16 points a game which cuts Arizonas totals in half. I love the Under.
MY PICK: DOWN UNDER 68.5
GAME 9: New Mexico +28.0 @ #21 Boise State
Boise State wants that NY6 bid that I mentioned earlier and they can have a clear path there if Memphis or Cincinnati fall. And for something like that to happen they would need a huge win and where is a better place to demolish a struggling opponent than at home. The Broncos see a struggling Lobo team coming into Idaho and the Broncos are ready to stampede.
MY PICK: BLUE TURF BRONCOS -28.0
GAME 10: USC -6.5 @ Cal
Remember when Cal was sitting at 4-0 and people were like the Golden Bears are legit... well they are far from legit and have lost 4 of their last 5 and have a streaky USC coming into town ready to demolish the Bears. As a kid this matchup was always a fun one to watch but this one will not be fun for Bears fans and honestly it'll be stressful as Clay Helton continues to fight on with his Trojans even though is is buckled in to the hot seat down in Southern Cali.
MY PICK: FIGHT ON -6.5
If you cannot tell I am excited again for a great slate ahead of us. I'd enjoy a weekend where I do better than 6-4 but hey 6-4 is still a winning record and in betting a winning record means you are making money. Thanks for tuning in and I am pumped for the 12th week of college football to come.
Another week another 6-4 record after another great weekend slate of football. This weekend was much better than last weekend for my personal bets but we enjoy sitting at 6-4 again after these top 10 picks. My four losses were tough, Oregon State blew their cover after making a late comeback, Penn State was dismantled by Minnesota and their high powered offense, West Virginia was an awful underdog to pick where they got blown out at home, and lastly my under between Wisconsin and Iowa was hitting and was looking great until the fourth quarter and both teams decided to score some points. A great weekend with a lot of bigs games, but this weekend is just the same and I am ready for it with these picks below:
GAME 1: #5 Alabama -19.0 @ Mississippi State
Alabama suffered their first loss of the season after a tough battle against LSU but Alabama has a huge bounce back game ahead of them. Miss State is sitting at 4-5 and are coming off a bye week but Alabama needs to make a statement for the Playoff Committee who placed Georgia ahead of the Crimson Tide. This game has a high line and Alabama will go out there and shove the football down Miss States throat.
MY PICK: BAMA -19.0
GAME 2: #11 Florida -7.0 @ Missouri
The Clemson transfer Kelly Bryant had high hopes for his Mizzou Tigers this year but they are sitting at 5-4 now and have lost 3 straight games. Florida is a good team but they have lost a lot of respect for losing to LSU and Georgia yet I have not lost any respect and I am all in on the Gators. Florida statistically has a better offense and defense and they need to go out there and make another Statement like their 56-0 win last week against Vanderbilt. I'm rolling with the Gators over the old Clemson guy Kelly Bryant who I love.
MY PICK: CHOMP ON -7.0
GAME 3: Michigan State +13.5 @ #15 Michigan
Michigan kept saying to wait until they found their offensive stride and people they have found their stride and it makes me think about where they would be ranked if they had this offensive presence at the beginning of the season. Michigan State on the other hand has no stride whatsoever and they have lost 4 straight games and are sitting at under .500 on the season. The Spartans vs Wolverines is always a magical matchup but this year it would be crazy if MSU even competed to the slightest big especially on the ride. Harbaugh has his Wolverines playing smooth and sound of late and all I have to say is look out Ohio State... maybe not but I will talk about that matchup when it arises.
MY PICK: GO BLUE -13.5
GAME 4: #18 Memphis -10.0 @ Houston
Well, a couple weeks ago I doubted the Memphis Tigers football team but after watching them play against SMU I have found another team that I enjoy watching a lot. Memphis has the opportunity to play in a NY6 bowl game this year and that would be huge for their program. On the other side of this matchup Houston had high hopes for this year but there is not much promise for the Cougs after they lost their QB for the year to save his eligibility. This pick was simple for me.
MY PICK: GO TIGERS -10.0
GAME 5: #8 Minnesota +3.0 @ #20 Iowa
This line shocked me a ton. And the reason that the Hawkeyes are favored is because they are at home and have a great defense. But who else had a highly touted defense? Penn State and Minnesota put up 31 on them and looked to have a very fluid offense with many weapons. PJ Fleck showed up in his biggest game of his career and he has another one on the way and the Gophers will try to prove once again why they are a legit CFB Playoff contender.
MY PICK: ROW THE BOAT +3.0
GAME 6: #10 Oklahoma -10.0 @ #13 Baylor
Baylor won again last week but it took 4 quarters and 3 overtimes to reach their 9th win without a loss. Oklahoma barely escaped a late game comeback against Iowa State but this game is sort of weird because Oklahoma may be the ones who are favored but they can play spoiler this week which is not their normal role. Baylor is the lowest ranked undefeated team and this could be a win that inches them into the top 10 but to do that they will have to win in dominate fashion compared to a very close wire to wire game. This is the best matchup on the later slate of games and it will be a solid Saturday night matchup.
MY PICK: BOOMER SOONER -10.0
GAME 7: UCLA +21.0 @ #7 Utah
If you have been following these picks week by week you have seen the emergence of DTR the dynamic quarterback for UCLA. Utah is the 7th ranked team in the country and they are just counting down the days to when they will play Oregon in the Pac 12 championship. But UCLA has become a team that you cannot take lightly. 21 seems very high to me but if Utah can cover this they will make a statement to the playoff committee.
MY PICK: 8 Clap +21.0
GAME 8: Arizona @ #6 Oregon O/U 68.5
This description will be short and simple. Oregon is not going to drop a 70 bomb on us on Saturday and Arizona who scored about 33 points a game has not played a real defense all year. Oregon only allows around 16 points a game which cuts Arizonas totals in half. I love the Under.
MY PICK: DOWN UNDER 68.5
GAME 9: New Mexico +28.0 @ #21 Boise State
Boise State wants that NY6 bid that I mentioned earlier and they can have a clear path there if Memphis or Cincinnati fall. And for something like that to happen they would need a huge win and where is a better place to demolish a struggling opponent than at home. The Broncos see a struggling Lobo team coming into Idaho and the Broncos are ready to stampede.
MY PICK: BLUE TURF BRONCOS -28.0
GAME 10: USC -6.5 @ Cal
Remember when Cal was sitting at 4-0 and people were like the Golden Bears are legit... well they are far from legit and have lost 4 of their last 5 and have a streaky USC coming into town ready to demolish the Bears. As a kid this matchup was always a fun one to watch but this one will not be fun for Bears fans and honestly it'll be stressful as Clay Helton continues to fight on with his Trojans even though is is buckled in to the hot seat down in Southern Cali.
MY PICK: FIGHT ON -6.5
If you cannot tell I am excited again for a great slate ahead of us. I'd enjoy a weekend where I do better than 6-4 but hey 6-4 is still a winning record and in betting a winning record means you are making money. Thanks for tuning in and I am pumped for the 12th week of college football to come.
